The New York Times > Washington > Prewar Assessment on Iraq Saw Chance of Strong Divisions:
"The same intelligence unit that produced a gloomy report in July about the prospect of growing instability in Iraq warned the Bush administration about the potential costly consequences of an American-led invasion two months before the war began, government officials said Monday."
So, can Bush say that he "miscalculated" the problems in "post-war" Iraq if he had a good idea from this report of what the problems were likely to be?
Note that the CIA guy responsible for the prewar assessment and the recent estimate, Pillar, was the subject of a recent Robert Novak editorial. It sounds like Pillar's a little peeved over Bush saying that the CIA was "just guessing."